Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.102104 0.110507 0.119469 0.129770 0.141323 0.153926 0.168776
2024-10-13 0.085987 0.097118 0.109711 0.125133 0.143674 0.165457 0.193302
2024-10-20 0.075647 0.087956 0.102463 0.121048 0.144558 0.173777 0.213600
2024-10-27 0.068366 0.081269 0.096961 0.117788 0.145236 0.180968 0.232403
2024-11-03 0.066094 0.080292 0.098106 0.122611 0.156297 0.202350 0.272693
2024-11-10 0.064680 0.080143 0.100106 0.128500 0.169137 0.227414 0.321911
2024-11-17 0.061484 0.077346 0.098280 0.128846 0.174018 0.241378 0.356213
2024-11-24 0.057936 0.073788 0.095092 0.126882 0.175154 0.249587 0.382193
2024-12-01 0.054578 0.070253 0.091652 0.124196 0.174810 0.255237 0.404426
2024-12-08 0.051208 0.066496 0.087638 0.120307 0.172156 0.256695 0.419145
2024-12-15 0.049136 0.064435 0.085904 0.119681 0.174548 0.266730 0.451429
2024-12-22 0.047054 0.062241 0.083828 0.118342 0.175590 0.274442 0.480374
2024-12-29 0.045663 0.061092 0.083403 0.119848 0.182037 0.293537 0.538914
2025-01-05 0.042967 0.057920 0.079787 0.116026 0.179060 0.295036 0.560303
2025-01-12 0.040545 0.055032 0.076440 0.112392 0.176055 0.296083 0.580995
2025-01-19 0.038488 0.052590 0.073639 0.109453 0.173999 0.298697 0.606080
2025-01-26 0.038265 0.052894 0.075120 0.113814 0.185781 0.331105 0.715429
2025-02-02 0.038236 0.053484 0.077073 0.119130 0.199992 0.371256 0.861231
2025-02-09 0.037171 0.052400 0.076246 0.119442 0.204382 0.390307 0.952928
2025-02-16 0.035770 0.050723 0.074349 0.117670 0.204345 0.399011 1.015156
2025-02-23 0.034337 0.048934 0.072178 0.115246 0.202712 0.403627 1.065577
2025-03-02 0.032788 0.046903 0.069512 0.111733 0.198465 0.401173 1.090356
2025-03-09 0.031866 0.045849 0.068447 0.111167 0.200497 0.415049 1.182248